Research Articles
Living data visualizations that answer the biggest fantasy football questions. Every chart updates automatically as new data arrives.
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Available to everyone, no signup needed.The Auction Playbook: How to Actually Price a Fantasy Draft
Value Based Drafting, budget geometry, and the 2026 auction values our model produces for full PPR, half PPR, 1QB, and Superflex.
Close the Draft: 7 Rules That Beat ADP
Six more simulations, all grounded in real 10-year ADP + weekly stats, produce a concrete draft-day playbook — quantified in championship-rate points.
The RB Age Cliff: Real Decline or Rigged Contracts?
Every fantasy manager 'knows' running backs fall off at 27. A decade of data says the cliff is real — but it isn't in their bodies. It's in their contracts.
Zero RB vs Hero RB vs Standard: What Wins a Championship?
We ran 240,000 fantasy leagues across ten years of real ADP data. The truth about draft strategy is different — and smaller — than the debate suggests.
Target Share Leaders by Position
The players commanding the largest share of their team passing game, broken down by position rank.
Mid vs Late Round Sleepers: Who Has a Shot, Who Has Zero
Rounds 6-10 and 11-15 aren't the same draft. One in every 173 late-round WRs finished top-12 the last decade. The other 172 were dead capital. Here's the profile of the picks that actually hit — and the ones the data says to refuse.
Coaching Hire Impact on Fantasy Value: A Historical Study
When a team hires a new head coach or coordinator, which fantasy positions benefit most — and how quickly?
What Coaching Schemes Produce the Most Fantasy-Relevant Players?
A breakdown of offensive scheme families and their historical impact on QB, RB, WR, and TE fantasy production.
The Running Back Shelf Life Study
How long do RBs actually produce at a fantasy-relevant level? A historical analysis of workload, age, and decline patterns.
Success Rate vs. Fantasy Points: Finding Players Who Outperform Their Hype
Success rate reveals which players are genuinely efficient and which are living off volume or big-play variance.
Can Vegas Lines Predict Fantasy Success?
How game totals, spreads, and implied team totals correlate with fantasy scoring — and how to exploit the edges.
Week X Waiver Wire Targets
Data-driven waiver wire pickups ranked by opportunity, efficiency, and matchup for this week.
Zero RB Strategy: Does the Data Support It?
A decade of draft data analyzed to determine when Zero RB works, when it fails, and exactly which rounds create the largest edge.